To: Michigan Liberation and the Wayne County For the People Coalition
From: Change Research
Date: May 29, 2020
Re: Wayne County MI County Prosecutor Race
Change Research conducted a poll of 816 registered likely 2020 Democratic primary voters in Wayne County, Michigan from May 26-28, 2020.
Racial justice is a key issue for these voters. Respondents were asked to indicate from a list their top issues when considering who to support for County Prosecutor. By a considerable margin, two main priorities surfaced in this poll: (1) Ending racial disparity in the criminal justice system (62% selected) and (2) Holding police accountable for shootings and misconduct (56% selected).
Coronavirus is a top concern and may influence how these voters participate in the election. On a scale of 1-10, where 10 indicates feeling extremely worried about coronavirus, the plurality of voters reported being a 10/10 on this scale (33%) and 66% rank their worry level in the top third of the scale (8, 9, or 10). When asked to indicate which statement came closer to their views about voting during the coronavirus outbreak, the majority (55%) reported that they would only cast a ballot if they could do so absentee/by mail.
Likely Democratic Primary voters in Wayne County are nearly unanimous on the issue of cash bail. 96% of these voters agree that cash bail keeps poor people locked up in jails, while wealthier people accused of the exact same crimes can buy their freedom, and 73% strongly agree.
D1. What is your gender?
D2. In what year were you born? [recoded to the following age buckets]
D3. What is your race/ethnicity?
40% White / Caucasian
54% Black or African American
1% Hispanic or Latino/a
1% American Indian or Alaska Native
1% Asian or Pacific Islander
D4. What is the highest level of education you have completed?
14% High school diploma or less
35% Some college, but no degree
15% Associate’s degree, or two-year college degree
19% Bachelor’s degree, or four-year college degree
17% Graduate degree
D5. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a:
62% Strong Democrat
14% Not so strong Democrat
12% Independent - lean Democrat
1% Independent - lean Republican
1% Not so strong Republican
1% Strong Republican
Q1. Do you plan to vote in the August 4th Democratic primary election for state and local offices?
84% Yes, definitely
8% Yes, probably
7% Maybe (50-50)
1% Probably not
0% Definitely not
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Using its Dynamic Online Sampling Engine to attain a sample reflective of the electorate, Change Research polled 816 people in Wayne County Michigan, May 26-28, 2020. The margin of error as traditionally calculated is 3.4%. Post-stratification weighting was performed on age, gender, race/ethnicity, education, and 2016 presidential vote. Weighting parameters were based on voter file data, and 2016 presidential results were based on numbers released by the Michigan Secretary of State.