Biden, Warren, and Sanders lead the Democratic Caucus in Nevada

The Nevada Independent/Change Research
Nevada Poll: August 2-8, 2019

Key Takeaways: 


  • Joe Biden (26%), Elizabeth Warren (23%), and Bernie Sanders (22%) have the highest levels of support among likely Democratic caucus-goers in Nevada 

  • Biden leads among 35-49 and 50-64 year-old likely caucus-goers. Sanders leads among 18-24 year-olds (54%), and Warren narrowly leads among caucus-goers older than 65 with 30%.

  • Biden (30%) has an 8-point lead among Latinx caucus-goers in Nevada. The race is closer among white caucus-goers, with Warren leading at 27%.

Screen Shot 2019-06-19 at 5.20.32 PM.png

Look beyond the horse race:

purchase polls from our frequent polling series.

Change Research surveyed 439 likely Democratic caucus-goers in Nevada on questions related to the Democratic horse race, top issues, and more. The poll produced thousands of data points powering actionable insights for campaigns and organizations following the race to 2020. This page contains a preview of the survey’s findings - inquire about purchasing the full poll

Every poll includes: 

  • full crosstabs

  • an open-ended question analysis powered by Change Research's natural language processing technology

  • an executive summary

Limited Poll Info


Sample and Methodology

Full crosstabs and more available for purchase. Learn more here

Biden, Warren, and Sanders Lead the Democratic Primary in Nevada


Joe Biden leads the Democratic primary in Nevada with 26%, followed by Elizabeth Warren (23%) and Bernie Sanders (22%). They are followed by Kamala Harris (10%), Pete Buttigieg (7%), Tom Steyer (3%), and Beto O’Rourke (2%). All other candidates poll at 1% or less. 

Sanders has a 39-point lead among 18-34 year-old likely caucus-goers in Nevada, with 54%. Biden has the most support among 35-49 and 50-54 year-olds, with 31% and 30%, respectively. Warren has a one-point lead among caucus-goers over 65 with 30%; Biden follows at 29%. 


Biden leads the race among Latinx caucus-goers, polling at 30%, an 8-point lead over Sanders (22%) and Harris (22%). The race is closer among white caucus-goers; Warren has the highest support with 27%, followed by Sanders with 24%. 

2020 Change

Change Research’s 2020 Change polling series is offering candidates and causes an opportunity to access deeper insights for a strategic advantage.

2020 Change is a series of individual polls and aggregate polling memos. 

The polls cover local issues far beyond the Democratic nomination, providing actionable insights for those working on ballot measures, issue advocacy campaigns, down-ballot races, or other legislative initiatives. 

You can buy a single poll, a series of polls from a specific state (e.g., California polls only), or choose the combination that’s right for you. Purchase a poll or series of polls to gain access to surveys of large samples of Democratic primary voters across demographic groups and areas of the United States.

Learn more about purchasing polls.

Change Research surveyed 439 self-identified likely Democratic caucus-goers. The margin of error as traditionally calculated is  ± 4.7% for the full sample. Change Research reaches voters via targeted online ads that point people to an online survey instrument. The Bias Correct Engine dynamically delivers large samples that accurately reflect the demographics of a population. Post-stratification was done on age, gender, ethnicity, region, and 2016 caucus and presidential vote.

Keep up with the latest polls

  • Grey Twitter Icon
  • Grey Facebook Icon
  • Grey LinkedIn Icon

© 2020 Change Research