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© 2019 Change Research

Biden and Sanders Lead the Democratic Primary in Florida, Buttigieg and Warren Tie for Third

Change Research Florida Poll: June 16-17, 2019

Key Takeaways: 

 

  • Biden (33%), Sanders (20%), Buttigieg and Warren (15%) lead the Democratic primary in Florida

  • Biden leads in all age groups except for 18- to 34-year old voters

  • Biden has a strong lead among black and Latinx voters, but the race is closer among white voters

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Change Research surveyed 2,493 registered voters in Florida on questions related to the Democratic horse race, 2020 general elections, the Trump administration agenda, and more. The poll produced thousands of data points powering actionable insights for campaigns and organizations following Florida. This page contains a preview of the survey's findings - click here to inquire about purchasing the full poll. 

Biden, Sanders Lead the Florida Democratic Primary with Buttigieg and Warren Tied for Third

 

Joe Biden leads the Florida Democratic primary by 13 points, polling at 33% among likely Democratic primary voters. Biden is followed by Sanders (20%), Pete Buttigieg and Elizabeth Warren (15%), Kamala Harris (7%), Beto O’Rourke and Andrew Yang (3%), and Cory Booker and Amy Klobuchar (2%). All other candidates poll at 1% or less.

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Biden has a strong lead in all age groups of likely Democratic primary voters except for 18- to 34-year olds; Sanders leads that age group at 38%, followed by Biden (16%) and Buttigieg (14%).

Biden leads by 34 points among likely black Democratic primary voters in Florida, polling at 50% among that group ahead of Sanders in second place with 16%. Biden also leads with 39% among Florida’s Democratic Latinx voters. The race is closer among white Democrats: Biden still leads with 24%, but Sanders is four points behind at 20%, followed by Buttigieg and Warren (19%).

2020 Change

You’ve seen the horse race results in the headlines - now Change Research’s 2020 Change polling series is offering candidates and causes an opportunity to access deeper insights for a strategic advantage.

2020 Change is a series of individual polls and aggregate polling memos offering you maximum flexibility in accessing the data that will be most impactful for your mission. 

The polls cover local issues far beyond the Democratic nomination, providing actionable insights for those working on ballot measures, issue advocacy campaigns, down-ballot races, or other legislative initiatives. 

You can buy a single poll, a series of polls from a specific state (ex. California polls only), or choose the combination that’s right for you. Purchase a poll or series of polls to gain access to surveys of large samples of Democratic primary voters across demographic groups and areas of the United States.

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Change Research surveyed 2,493 registered voters in Florida (1,130 likely 2020 Democratic primary voters and 1,063 likely 2020 Republican primary voters) from June 16-17, 2019. The survey was conducted online, using Change Research’s Bias Correct Engine. Change Research reaches voters via targeted online ads that point people to an online survey instrument. The Bias Correct Engine dynamically delivers large samples that accurately reflect the demographics of a population. Post-stratification was done on age, gender, ethnicity, and 2016 presidential vote. The margin of error for the full sample, as traditionally calculated, is ± 2.0%.